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Red267
5327111.2
1553120.4
342178.6
Blue347
2815128.6
5190203.5
1225B83.2
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284287150200250300350400267347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#4
178.61.2
172.2173.4
Auto18.2
Teleop140.9
End17.6
blue by 24.9
203.50.8
199.6198.8
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
Second
1553
#21
120.41.3
126.0124.8
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End13.8
blue by 8.2
2815
#16
128.62.0
138.4136.4
Auto16.4
Teleop95.6
End8.9
Third
111.20.1
109.7109.7
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.0
red by 28.0
83.20.6
82.182.6
Auto10.9
Teleop69.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed