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Red193
3506129.7
1225123.7
4451177.3
Blue424
1102194.6
4795171.2
281142.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443610100200300400500600700193424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4451
#14
177.30.0
180.1180.1
Auto21.2
Teleop133.8
End20.1
blue by 17.3
194.60.6
184.5185.2
Auto19.2
Teleop153.9
End22.1
Second
3506
#15
129.71.0
133.8132.8
Auto15.1
Teleop109.4
End4.4
blue by 41.5
171.21.8
173.5171.8
Auto21.0
Teleop131.9
End15.8
Third
1225
#12
123.71.4
128.1126.7
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9
blue by 18.6
281
#9
142.30.4
141.4141.0
Auto17.0
Teleop110.0
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed