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Red258
283133.8
4795171.2
4795B100.4
Blue204
4083117.9
5190203.5
1553120.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28735902006008001,000258204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.20.5
174.4174.9
Auto21.0
Teleop131.9
End15.8
blue by 32.3
203.50.3
204.6204.3
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
Second
283
#8
133.80.6
141.3140.7
Auto14.7
Teleop97.8
End21.4
red by 13.4
1553
#21
120.40.1
130.2130.2
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End13.8
Third
100.41.1
100.499.3
Auto13.9
Teleop81.8
End4.8
blue by 17.5
4083
#17
117.90.2
120.6120.8
Auto14.3
Teleop86.5
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed