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Red47
281142.3
1225B83.2
4935115.4
Blue351
4451177.3
342178.6
3489162.6
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191439010030040050060070080047351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#9
142.30.5
143.2143.7
Auto17.0
Teleop110.0
End14.2
blue by 36.3
342
#4
178.60.6
170.2170.8
Auto18.2
Teleop140.9
End17.6
Second
4935
#18
115.40.3
126.2125.9
Auto17.6
Teleop90.2
End8.4
blue by 61.9
4451
#14
177.31.0
180.7181.6
Auto21.2
Teleop133.8
End20.1
Third
83.26.2
83.276.9
Auto10.9
Teleop69.6
End-0.6
blue by 79.4
162.60.6
153.4154.0
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed85%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed34%Face the Boss oddsMissed