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Red447
281142.3
3489162.6
3490125.0
Blue198
1553120.4
1225123.7
4795171.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3252890100200400500600447198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.61.2
155.3156.5
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
blue by 8.6
171.20.4
171.2171.5
Auto21.0
Teleop131.9
End15.8
Second
281
#9
142.30.6
141.0141.6
Auto17.0
Teleop110.0
End14.2
red by 18.6
1225
#12
123.70.1
125.5125.4
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9
Third
3490
#11
125.02.0
126.4124.3
Auto15.8
Teleop99.1
End8.9
red by 4.6
1553
#21
120.40.8
124.2123.3
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
28%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed