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Red369
5190203.5
4083117.9
342B131.3
Blue95
2815128.6
3506129.7
6366135.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371227060080036995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.5
198.8199.3
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
red by 68.6
6366
#10
135.01.1
139.9138.8
Auto16.6
Teleop101.8
End14.3
Second
131.31.9
120.4122.2
Auto9.7
Teleop111.5
End10.6
red by 1.6
3506
#15
129.70.1
132.0131.9
Auto15.1
Teleop109.4
End4.4
Third
4083
#17
117.90.6
118.8118.2
Auto14.3
Teleop86.5
End17.5
blue by 10.7
2815
#16
128.61.0
135.3134.2
Auto16.4
Teleop95.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed