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Red440
5190203.5
1102194.6
1225123.7
Blue51
1553120.4
4935115.4
3489B102.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions446115020030040050060070044051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.50.8
200.0200.9
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
red by 83.2
1553
#21
120.41.7
122.0120.4
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End13.8
Second
194.62.7
188.9191.6
Auto19.2
Teleop153.9
End22.1
red by 79.2
4935
#18
115.40.1
115.3115.4
Auto17.6
Teleop90.2
End8.4
Third
1225
#12
123.70.5
124.6124.1
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9
red by 21.7
102.01.1
101.1102.2
Auto11.0
Teleop86.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed