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Red280
4795171.2
342B131.3
1225B83.2
Blue229
4795B100.4
3506129.7
281142.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2862350100200400500600280229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.20.1
171.2171.1
Auto21.0
Teleop131.9
End15.8
red by 28.9
281
#9
142.30.7
143.0142.4
Auto17.0
Teleop110.0
End14.2
Second
131.33.1
124.3127.4
Auto9.7
Teleop111.5
End10.6
red by 1.6
3506
#15
129.70.6
130.5129.9
Auto15.1
Teleop109.4
End4.4
Third
83.20.4
82.783.2
Auto10.9
Teleop69.6
End-0.6
blue by 17.3
100.42.5
102.9100.4
Auto13.9
Teleop81.8
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed