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Red351
5327111.2
3489162.6
283133.8
Blue243
4083117.9
4451177.3
6366135.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30331302004006008001,0001,200351243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
162.61.1
158.5159.6
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
blue by 14.7
4451
#14
177.31.4
179.1177.7
Auto21.2
Teleop133.8
End20.1
Second
283
#8
133.80.9
134.7133.8
Auto14.7
Teleop97.8
End21.4
blue by 1.2
6366
#10
135.01.0
136.5135.5
Auto16.6
Teleop101.8
End14.3
Third
111.20.5
110.3110.8
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.0
blue by 6.7
4083
#17
117.90.1
118.0117.9
Auto14.3
Teleop86.5
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed