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Red204
342178.6
2815128.6
1225123.7
Blue388
3490125.0
5190203.5
342B131.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413700100200300500600700204388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
342
#4
178.61.4
176.8178.2
Auto18.2
Teleop140.9
End17.6
blue by 24.9
203.51.1
200.9201.9
Auto21.9
Teleop157.3
End24.8
Second
2815
#16
128.63.5
132.1128.6
Auto16.4
Teleop95.6
End8.9
blue by 2.7
131.32.4
127.4129.7
Auto9.7
Teleop111.5
End10.6
Third
1225
#12
123.70.0
124.1124.1
Auto16.7
Teleop90.6
End12.9
blue by 1.2
3490
#11
125.00.0
123.7123.7
Auto15.8
Teleop99.1
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed