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Red251
6366135.0
5327111.2
3490125.0
Blue138
3489B102.0
1225B83.2
3506129.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29624105001,0001,5002,000251138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6366
#10
135.00.7
144.7144.0
Auto16.6
Teleop101.8
End14.3
red by 5.3
3506
#15
129.70.0
134.6134.5
Auto15.1
Teleop109.4
End4.4
Second
3490
#11
125.00.6
132.6132.1
Auto15.8
Teleop99.1
End8.9
red by 22.9
102.06.7
89.295.9
Auto11.0
Teleop86.3
End3.4
Third
111.20.2
109.5109.3
Auto15.5
Teleop90.3
End10.0
red by 28.0
83.25.1
76.982.0
Auto10.9
Teleop69.6
End-0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed