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Red91
342B131.3
283133.8
1553120.4
Blue326
1102194.6
3489162.6
2815128.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224403060080091326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
283
#8
133.81.2
140.7139.5
Auto14.7
Teleop97.8
End21.4
blue by 60.8
194.60.9
181.6182.5
Auto19.2
Teleop153.9
End22.1
Second
131.39.2
97.3106.5
Auto9.7
Teleop111.5
End10.6
blue by 31.3
162.60.1
154.0154.2
Auto17.1
Teleop119.4
End28.6
Third
1553
#21
120.41.2
130.2129.0
Auto15.9
Teleop88.0
End13.8
blue by 8.2
2815
#16
128.60.2
141.1140.8
Auto16.4
Teleop95.6
End8.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsMissed