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Quarterfinal 3-22018 Shanghai Regional
Red424
5839137.5
6803163.8
6970126.5
Blue49
5515122.6
6360101.7
6392119.9
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39421810030050060070042449

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.82.1
152.8→154.9
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 41.2
5515
#20
122.60.0
122.9→122.9
Auto16.4
Teleop95.7
End9.5
Second
5839
#6
137.50.4
134.8→135.2
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
red by 17.6
6392
#15
119.90.5
119.2→119.7
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
Third
6970
#14
126.50.4
123.9→124.2
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
red by 24.7
6360
#25
101.70.6
100.8→101.4
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1