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Quarterfinal 3-32018 Shanghai Regional
Red419
5839137.5
6803163.8
6970126.5
Blue188
5515122.6
6360101.7
6392119.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399204100300500600700419188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.81.9
154.9→156.8
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 41.2
5515
#20
122.60.3
122.9→122.6
Auto16.4
Teleop95.7
End9.5
Second
5839
#6
137.50.4
135.2→135.6
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
red by 17.6
6392
#15
119.90.2
119.7→119.9
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
Third
6970
#14
126.50.4
124.2→124.6
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
red by 24.7
6360
#25
101.70.4
101.4→101.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1