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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Shanghai Regional
Red435
6361121.0
6394141.3
6990117.5
Blue147
6304106.3
5451124.8
6487114.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012440100200400500600435147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6394
#4
141.31.2
138.0→139.2
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 16.5
5451
#8
124.80.6
122.0→122.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
6361
#9
121.00.1
121.0→121.0
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End12.8
red by 6.4
6487
#19
114.60.5
112.1→112.6
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
Third
6990
#18
117.50.2
116.8→117.0
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
red by 11.2
6304
#10
106.30.6
103.3→103.9
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0