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Qual 122018 Shanghai Regional
Red248
6304106.3
5451124.8
6771127.8
Blue198
6818103.7
6949114.5
6803163.8
31%Model gave it69%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2092700100300400500600248198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6771
#16
127.810.5
77.7→88.2
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
blue by 36.0
6803
#3
163.811.1
77.7→88.9
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
Second
5451
#8
124.810.4
86.6→97.0
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 10.3
6949
#12
114.510.5
77.7→88.2
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
Third
6304
#10
106.31.1
96.3→95.2
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0
red by 2.6
6818
#37
103.713.4
77.7→91.1
Auto14.8
Teleop83.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed