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Qual 132018 Shanghai Regional
Red175
639995.6
724290.8
6986106.1
Blue103
6376100.9
6487114.6
7134102.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2202650100300400500600175103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6986
#32
106.110.6
77.7→88.3
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
blue by 8.5
6487
#19
114.614.0
73.8→87.8
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
Second
6399
#38
95.68.8
74.7→83.4
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
blue by 6.7
7134
#35
102.310.6
77.7→88.3
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
Third
7242
#39
90.811.2
77.7→88.9
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End4.6
blue by 10.1
6376
#40
100.910.9
80.8→91.7
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed