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Qual 152018 Shanghai Regional
Red30
697186.2
6441103.0
649499.3
Blue184
7146101.9
6967105.7
6941127.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2372415010015020030035030184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6441
#24
103.03.8
88.2→92.0
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
blue by 24.3
6941
#17
127.40.3
113.0→113.3
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
Second
6494
#34
99.311.1
78.0→89.1
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
blue by 6.5
6967
#31
105.78.4
77.7→86.2
Auto15.3
Teleop80.6
End12.6
Third
6971
#41
86.29.9
77.7→87.6
Auto13.7
Teleop70.1
End0.4
blue by 15.7
7146
#33
101.94.9
87.6→92.5
Auto13.7
Teleop77.0
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed