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Qual 162018 Shanghai Regional
Red26
639995.6
6487114.6
6949114.5
Blue214
6990117.5
6991117.7
6361121.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218254010030040050026214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6487
#19Sur
114.66.9
87.8→94.7
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
blue by 6.4
6361
#9
121.05.2
100.4→105.6
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End12.8
Second
6949
#12
114.55.9
88.2→94.2
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
blue by 3.2
6991
#28Sur
117.78.3
86.2→94.5
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0
Third
6399
#38
95.65.3
83.4→88.7
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
blue by 21.9
6990
#18
117.56.3
86.2→92.5
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed