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Qual 172018 Shanghai Regional
Red322
6970126.5
6394141.3
6827134.6
Blue15
5451124.8
6818103.7
700192.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2552545015020025030032215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6394
#4
141.312.8
79.1→91.9
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
red by 16.5
5451
#8
124.87.5
97.0→104.5
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
6827
#11Sur
134.610.5
90.5→101.0
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
red by 30.9
6818
#37
103.77.8
91.1→99.0
Auto14.8
Teleop83.8
End1.8
Third
6970
#14
126.56.5
87.6→94.2
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
red by 33.6
7001
#36Sur
92.97.2
87.5→94.7
Auto12.1
Teleop74.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed