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Qual 212018 Shanghai Regional
Red417
6803163.8
6907153.2
6771127.8
Blue254
530891.1
5823152.5
5883186.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2003590100300400500600417254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.86.3
88.9→95.2
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
blue by 23.1
5883
#2
186.92.8
162.8→165.6
Auto21.2
Teleop138.1
End30.4
Second
6907
#1
153.211.1
91.4→102.5
Auto21.4
Teleop116.0
End17.7
red by 0.8
5823
#5
152.51.8
141.5→143.3
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Third
6771
#16
127.87.5
88.2→95.7
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
red by 36.7
5308
#43
91.15.0
87.0→92.0
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned56%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed