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Qual 222018 Shanghai Regional
Red344
6353109.0
6941127.4
6986106.1
Blue147
6354125.8
6360101.7
7002107.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25721650100150300350400450344147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#17
127.40.2
113.3→113.4
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
red by 1.5
6354
#26
125.87.2
95.5→102.7
Auto14.8
Teleop101.1
End10.1
Second
6353
#13
109.05.2
84.5→89.7
Auto17.4
Teleop87.5
End2.4
red by 1.6
7002
#27
107.45.6
86.2→91.8
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
Third
6986
#32
106.16.4
88.3→94.7
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
red by 4.4
6360
#25
101.74.7
89.9→94.6
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed