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Qual 232018 Shanghai Regional
Red225
6441103.0
5515122.6
6487114.6
Blue87
6376100.9
601886.7
6949114.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249209010030040050022587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#20
122.63.0
108.8→111.8
Auto16.4
Teleop95.7
End9.5
red by 8.1
6949
#12
114.52.2
94.2→96.3
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
Second
6487
#19
114.62.9
94.7→97.5
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
red by 13.8
6376
#40
100.91.3
96.5→97.9
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End6.8
Third
6441
#24
103.00.7
92.0→92.7
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
red by 16.3
6018
#44
86.70.5
91.9→92.4
Auto14.7
Teleop65.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed