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Qual 242018 Shanghai Regional
Red173
6990117.5
6818103.7
6394141.3
Blue259
6392119.9
5453170.5
694089.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2242810100400500600173259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6394
#4
141.310.2
91.9→102.1
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
blue by 29.2
5453
#23
170.50.7
164.2→164.9
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
Second
6990
#18
117.55.5
92.5→98.0
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
blue by 2.4
6392
#15
119.93.6
104.4→108.0
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
Third
6818
#37
103.71.6
99.0→100.5
Auto14.8
Teleop83.8
End1.8
red by 13.8
6940
#22
89.90.6
91.8→91.1
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed