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Qual 262018 Shanghai Regional
Red515
700192.9
6803163.8
6941127.4
Blue111
639995.6
6304106.3
6353109.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273185100300400500515111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.89.1
95.2→104.3
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 54.8
6353
#13
109.07.0
89.7→96.7
Auto17.4
Teleop87.5
End2.4
Second
6941
#17
127.41.4
113.4→114.9
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
red by 21.1
6304
#10
106.30.2
94.5→94.6
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0
Third
7001
#36
92.91.2
94.7→96.0
Auto12.1
Teleop74.9
End5.7
blue by 2.7
6399
#38
95.62.0
88.7→90.7
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed