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Qual 272018 Shanghai Regional
Red191
6771127.8
6967105.7
530891.1
Blue224
6991117.7
6362100.3
6360101.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249235150200300350191224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6771
#16
127.810.0
95.7→105.7
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
red by 10.1
6991
#28
117.76.9
94.5→101.4
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0
Second
6967
#31
105.75.7
91.5→97.2
Auto15.3
Teleop80.6
End12.6
red by 4.0
6360
#25
101.72.1
94.6→96.7
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Third
5308
#43
91.11.8
92.0→93.8
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
blue by 9.2
6362
#30
100.32.8
98.8→101.6
Auto14.9
Teleop81.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed