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Qual 282018 Shanghai Regional
Red348
6354125.8
5451124.8
5823152.5
Blue206
649499.3
6986106.1
7146101.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29022950100150200250350400450348206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
#5
152.50.9
143.3→144.2
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 46.4
6986
#32
106.17.9
94.7→102.6
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
Second
6354
#26
125.83.8
102.7→106.6
Auto14.8
Teleop101.1
End10.1
red by 23.9
7146
#33
101.93.0
92.5→95.5
Auto13.7
Teleop77.0
End11.6
Third
5451
#8
124.81.2
104.5→105.7
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 25.6
6494
#34
99.31.8
94.7→96.4
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed