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Red15
6304106.3
530891.1
6441103.0
Blue381
6394141.3
5883186.9
7047123.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203326010030040050015381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6304
#10
106.30.1
96.296.3
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0
blue by 80.6
186.91.9
158.5160.4
Auto21.2
Teleop138.1
End30.4
Second
6441
#24
103.017.3
62.679.9
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
blue by 38.3
141.319.4
44.564.0
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
5308
#43
91.117.5
61.078.6
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
blue by 32.7
123.80.7
109.2109.9
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed