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Red216
649499.3
5515122.6
6803163.8
Blue60
697186.2
6970126.5
6997100.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276250010020040050060070021660

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.890.2
168.077.7
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 37.3
6970
#14
126.548.7
126.577.7
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Second
5515
#20
122.615.5
78.694.2
Auto16.4
Teleop95.7
End9.5
red by 22.6
6997
#42
100.022.3
100.077.7
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
Third
6494
#34
99.317.6
60.478.0
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
red by 13.0
6971
#41
86.28.5
86.277.7
Auto13.7
Teleop70.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed