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Red176
5453170.5
700192.9
6360101.7
Blue181
643393.4
724290.8
5451124.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3352190100300400500600176181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5453
#23
170.52.3
160.8163.1
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
red by 45.7
124.816.5
70.186.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
6360
#25
101.717.3
63.280.4
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
red by 8.4
6433
#29
93.417.8
58.776.5
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
Third
7001
#36
92.915.1
92.977.7
Auto12.1
Teleop74.9
End5.7
red by 2.1
7242
#39
90.813.0
90.877.7
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed