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Qual 62018 Shanghai Regional
Red356
6818103.7
6941127.4
5839137.5
Blue55
6990117.5
6967105.7
6386155.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242301010020040050060035655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5839
#6
137.50.7
119.6→120.3
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
blue by 17.8
6386
#21
155.21.4
142.5→143.8
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
Second
6941
#17
127.40.4
113.3→113.0
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
red by 9.9
6990
#18
117.539.7
117.5→77.7
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
Third
6818
#37
103.726.0
103.7→77.7
Auto14.8
Teleop83.8
End1.8
blue by 2.0
6967
#31
105.724.2
102.0→77.7
Auto15.3
Teleop80.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed