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Qual 72018 Shanghai Regional
Red166
6949114.5
6362100.3
6771127.8
Blue144
7134102.3
6392119.9
6986106.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265260100150200300350400166144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6771
#16
127.850.1
127.8→77.7
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
red by 7.9
6392
#15
119.916.6
69.4→86.0
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
Second
6949
#12
114.536.8
114.5→77.7
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
red by 8.4
6986
#32
106.128.3
106.1→77.7
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
Third
6362
#30
100.316.6
69.2→85.8
Auto14.9
Teleop81.8
End2.1
blue by 2.0
7134
#35
102.329.5
107.3→77.7
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed