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Qual 342018 Shanghai Regional
Red246
6360101.7
6949114.5
6386155.2
Blue301
5823152.5
6803163.8
6970126.5
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231315100200400500246301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6386
#21
155.20.3
145.6→145.9
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
blue by 8.6
6803
#3
163.89.6
104.3→113.9
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
Second
6949
#12
114.50.9
96.3→97.2
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
blue by 37.9
5823
#5
152.50.9
144.2→145.1
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Third
6360
#25
101.71.4
96.7→98.1
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
blue by 24.7
6970
#14
126.54.5
100.1→104.6
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed