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Qual 352018 Shanghai Regional
Red45
601886.7
7146101.9
6362100.3
Blue337
5839137.5
694089.9
6304106.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222253010020030040045337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7146
#33
101.92.1
95.5→97.6
Auto13.7
Teleop77.0
End11.6
blue by 35.6
5839
#6
137.51.5
124.7→126.2
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
Second
6362
#30
100.31.9
101.6→103.5
Auto14.9
Teleop81.8
End2.1
blue by 5.9
6304
#10
106.30.0
94.6→94.7
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0
Third
6018
#44
86.70.2
92.4→92.3
Auto14.7
Teleop65.9
End7.5
blue by 3.1
6940
#22
89.90.5
91.1→90.6
Auto13.5
Teleop71.4
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed4%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed