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Qual 362018 Shanghai Regional
Red229
639995.6
6997100.0
7047123.8
Blue300
6441103.0
5451124.8
6353109.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2272430100300400500600229300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7047
#7
123.80.9
114.1→115.0
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
blue by 1.0
5451
#8
124.81.4
105.7→107.1
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
6997
#42
100.02.4
91.6→93.9
Auto14.9
Teleop80.5
End5.6
blue by 9.0
6353
#13
109.04.4
96.7→101.1
Auto17.4
Teleop87.5
End2.4
Third
6399
#38
95.61.1
90.7→91.8
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
blue by 7.5
6441
#24
103.00.7
92.7→93.4
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed