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Qual 452018 Shanghai Regional
Red424
6803163.8
6354125.8
6827134.6
Blue273
601886.7
5839137.5
6394141.3
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313243100200400500424273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6803
#3
163.86.9
121.1→128.1
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 22.5
6394
#4
141.38.0
115.9→123.9
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Second
6827
#11
134.63.5
122.7→126.2
Auto18.9
Teleop102.0
End13.1
blue by 2.8
5839
#6
137.52.1
128.3→130.4
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
Third
6354
#26
125.81.3
114.8→116.2
Auto14.8
Teleop101.1
End10.1
red by 39.1
6018
#44
86.72.4
90.5→88.1
Auto14.7
Teleop65.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed