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Qual 462018 Shanghai Regional
Red342
6949114.5
643393.4
7047123.8
Blue281
5453170.5
639995.6
6941127.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1803460100300400500342281

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7047
#7
123.81.1
115.8→116.9
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
blue by 46.7
5453
#23
170.50.7
167.1→167.8
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
Second
6949
#12
114.52.3
99.4→101.6
Auto16.8
Teleop85.6
End14.2
blue by 12.8
6941
#17
127.41.8
118.7→120.5
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
Third
6433
#29
93.42.2
95.3→93.1
Auto15.7
Teleop73.6
End3.9
blue by 2.2
6399
#38
95.61.7
92.7→94.3
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed