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Qual 482018 Shanghai Regional
Red409
6386155.2
7146101.9
6304106.3
Blue157
6360101.7
6771127.8
7134102.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions288249100200400500409157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6386
#21
155.21.3
146.8→148.1
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
red by 27.4
6771
#16
127.85.3
119.2→124.5
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
Second
6304
#10
106.31.6
95.5→97.1
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0
red by 3.9
7134
#35
102.31.4
103.8→105.2
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
Third
7146
#33
101.91.5
97.2→98.7
Auto13.7
Teleop77.0
End11.6
red by 0.2
6360
#25
101.70.8
100.7→99.9
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed