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Red298
6361121.0
6353109.0
7002107.4
Blue262
6362100.3
5451124.8
6967105.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286228100150200250350400450298262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.04.2
114.7119.0
Auto17.1
Teleop90.6
End12.8
blue by 3.8
124.83.0
109.8112.9
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
6353
#13
109.03.6
105.7109.4
Auto17.4
Teleop87.5
End2.4
red by 3.3
6967
#31
105.70.7
101.0100.3
Auto15.3
Teleop80.6
End12.6
Third
7002
#27
107.42.0
104.2106.2
Auto14.8
Teleop86.1
End11.1
red by 7.1
6362
#30
100.32.4
102.8100.4
Auto14.9
Teleop81.8
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed