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Qual 562018 Shanghai Regional
Red206
5823152.5
697186.2
639995.6
Blue309
6394141.3
6304106.3
6392119.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions224316100400500600206309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5823
#5
152.51.7
147.3→149.1
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
red by 11.1
6394
#4
141.35.9
123.9→129.8
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Second
6399
#38
95.60.9
94.3→95.2
Auto13.5
Teleop78.7
End2.7
blue by 24.3
6392
#15
119.91.7
111.9→113.6
Auto17.1
Teleop96.9
End6.2
Third
6971
#41
86.23.0
94.3→91.3
Auto13.7
Teleop70.1
End0.4
blue by 20.0
6304
#10
106.32.6
97.1→99.7
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed