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Qual 572018 Shanghai Regional
Red414
6986106.1
6386155.2
5451124.8
Blue162
5839137.5
530891.1
724290.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412020100300400500600414162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6386
#21
155.22.4
148.1→150.5
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
red by 17.8
5839
#6
137.52.0
130.4→132.4
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
Second
5451
#8
124.83.7
112.9→116.6
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
red by 33.7
5308
#43
91.11.3
97.5→96.1
Auto12.9
Teleop73.8
End3.3
Third
6986
#32
106.12.5
109.0→106.5
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
red by 15.3
7242
#39
90.82.8
100.0→97.2
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed