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Qual 582018 Shanghai Regional
Red200
7134102.3
6907153.2
6990117.5
Blue422
6967105.7
6441103.0
6803163.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312242100200400500200422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6907
#1
153.26.0
137.2→143.3
Auto21.4
Teleop116.0
End17.7
blue by 10.6
6803
#3
163.88.2
128.1→136.2
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
Second
6990
#18
117.53.8
109.9→113.7
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
red by 11.8
6967
#31
105.71.4
100.3→101.7
Auto15.3
Teleop80.6
End12.6
Third
7134
#35
102.30.6
105.2→104.6
Auto13.5
Teleop79.9
End8.1
blue by 0.7
6441
#24
103.01.1
95.8→96.8
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed