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Qual 632018 Shanghai Regional
Red192
649499.3
6376100.9
7047123.8
Blue434
6360101.7
6394141.3
6907153.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions217336100300400500600192434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7047
#7
123.82.0
119.0→121.0
Auto19.6
Teleop101.7
End2.8
blue by 29.4
6907
#1
153.22.6
143.3→145.9
Auto21.4
Teleop116.0
End17.7
Second
6376
#40
100.90.6
102.1→101.4
Auto14.2
Teleop79.7
End6.8
blue by 40.5
6394
#4
141.34.1
129.8→134.0
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
6494
#34
99.30.9
97.9→98.8
Auto14.9
Teleop78.8
End6.5
blue by 2.5
6360
#25
101.70.9
98.0→98.9
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed