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Qual 642018 Shanghai Regional
Red150
6386155.2
724290.8
6362100.3
Blue389
6441103.0
6990117.5
6354125.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273266100150200300350400450150389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6386
#21
155.22.6
150.5→153.1
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
red by 29.4
6354
#26
125.82.4
120.8→123.1
Auto14.8
Teleop101.1
End10.1
Second
6362
#30
100.30.8
100.7→101.5
Auto14.9
Teleop81.8
End2.1
blue by 17.2
6990
#18
117.51.2
113.7→114.9
Auto16.0
Teleop88.5
End14.5
Third
7242
#39
90.82.9
97.2→94.2
Auto13.6
Teleop70.5
End4.6
blue by 12.3
6441
#24
103.02.3
96.8→99.2
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed