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Qual 692018 Shanghai Regional
Red274
6991117.7
5515122.6
6941127.4
Blue304
6986106.1
5823152.5
6394141.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282305150200250350400450500274304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6941
#17
127.41.2
124.0→125.2
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
blue by 25.1
5823
#5
152.50.7
150.4→151.1
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Second
5515
#20
122.60.0
122.8→122.8
Auto16.4
Teleop95.7
End9.5
blue by 18.7
6394
#4
141.34.0
134.0→138.0
Auto17.5
Teleop105.4
End21.5
Third
6991
#28
117.71.8
112.9→114.7
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0
red by 11.6
6986
#32
106.10.2
106.3→106.1
Auto13.7
Teleop85.9
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned52%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed