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Qual 702018 Shanghai Regional
Red262
6487114.6
6360101.7
5839137.5
Blue235
6771127.8
700192.9
6441103.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29023050100150200250350400450262235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5839
#6
137.50.9
133.5→134.4
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
red by 9.6
6771
#16
127.81.0
126.2→127.3
Auto15.0
Teleop104.3
End7.1
Second
6487
#19
114.60.7
110.3→111.0
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
red by 11.6
6441
#24
103.02.7
99.2→101.8
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4
Third
6360
#25
101.71.8
98.9→100.8
Auto14.3
Teleop82.2
End10.1
red by 8.9
7001
#36
92.90.8
94.1→93.2
Auto12.1
Teleop74.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed