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Red434
5883186.9
6907153.2
6941127.4
Blue239
5453170.5
5823152.5
6991117.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359314200400500600434239

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.90.8
183.9184.7
Auto21.2
Teleop138.1
End30.4
red by 16.4
5453
#23
170.50.4
169.7170.2
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
Second
153.20.7
150.4151.1
Auto21.4
Teleop116.0
End17.7
red by 0.8
152.50.4
151.7152.1
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Third
6941
#17
127.40.4
125.9126.3
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
red by 9.7
6991
#28
117.70.5
116.8117.3
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0