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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Shanghai Regional
Red391
5883186.9
6907153.2
6941127.4
Blue265
6386155.2
6353109.0
6441103.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407220100300500600700391265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5883
#2
186.90.8
183.1→183.9
Auto21.2
Teleop138.1
End30.4
red by 31.6
6386
#21
155.20.4
154.8→155.2
Auto15.5
Teleop117.3
End24.4
Second
6907
#1
153.20.7
149.7→150.4
Auto21.4
Teleop116.0
End17.7
red by 44.2
6353
#13
109.00.1
109.1→109.0
Auto17.4
Teleop87.5
End2.4
Third
6941
#17
127.40.3
125.6→125.9
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
red by 24.3
6441
#24
103.00.5
102.5→103.0
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End0.4