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Semifinal 1-22018 Shanghai Regional
Red485
5883186.9
6907153.2
6941127.4
Blue274
5453170.5
5823152.5
6991117.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367306200400500600485274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5883
#2
186.90.8
184.7→185.4
Auto21.2
Teleop138.1
End30.4
red by 16.4
5453
#23
170.50.3
170.2→170.5
Auto18.3
Teleop134.4
End19.9
Second
6907
#1
153.20.8
151.1→151.9
Auto21.4
Teleop116.0
End17.7
red by 0.8
5823
#5
152.50.3
152.1→152.5
Auto22.7
Teleop116.7
End13.0
Third
6941
#17
127.40.4
126.3→126.7
Auto17.5
Teleop98.2
End13.1
red by 9.7
6991
#28
117.70.4
117.3→117.7
Auto15.4
Teleop93.3
End8.0