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Red391
5839137.5
6803163.8
6970126.5
Blue195
6304106.3
5451124.8
6487114.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions373229100300500600700391195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
163.81.9
156.8158.8
Auto21.5
Teleop120.9
End25.3
red by 39.0
124.80.7
123.6124.3
Auto19.3
Teleop103.4
End2.1
Second
137.50.5
135.6136.1
Auto18.1
Teleop104.0
End14.3
red by 22.8
6487
#19
114.60.6
113.5114.1
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.9
Third
6970
#14
126.50.5
124.6125.1
Auto17.5
Teleop99.4
End10.3
red by 20.2
6304
#10
106.30.6
105.1105.7
Auto16.7
Teleop85.7
End6.0